![]() It's too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the Florida or the U.S. "It is possible the storms may depart by the weekend, but that will depend on if there is a concise storm center versus a broad area of low pressure." "The first storms may erupt as early as midweek with the bulk of the downpours and thunderstorms likely from Thursday to Saturday over the peninsula," Douty said. Heavy downpours and locally gusty thunderstorms will precede the storm's arrival by a few days, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty said. Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of Florida through the weekend, according to the Hurricane Center. The designation of a system as an invest does not mean it will develop into a tropical cyclone. The gathering of specialized data and/or running forecast models take place, according to NOAA. What's an invest?Īn invest is a designation used when a weather system is being monitored closely for potential tropical cyclone development. ![]() Formation chance through 7 days: low, 20 percent.ĭisturbance designated as Invest 91L. ![]() Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 20 percent.What are chances for tropical development of system in Gulf of Mexico?īy this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southeast toward Florida. Tropical wave 4: A tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea extends south of Jamaica.Tropical wave 3: Another tropical wave in the central Atlantic is located a little farther west but remains east of Barbados and Grenada.Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is located east of Barbados.Exact location: 12W from 14N south to the equator. Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave over West Africa is moving west at 19 mph.Invest AL91, also known as 91L: An area of low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northeast of the center.The National Hurricane Center is tracking Invest 91L and four tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, which includes the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. View Gallery: NHC radar, satellite show system in Gulf of Mexico, forecast path May 31: What's out there and where are they? Here's the latest update from the NHC as of 8 p.m. Since the classification came during a post analysis, it did not get a name and will be documented as "Unnamed." A system in January was classified in May as a subtropical storm. While the first named storm of the 2023 season will be Arlene, it will actually be the second storm of the season. A second 14-day disaster preparedness tax holiday will run Aug. The first named storm of the season will be Arlene.Ī sales tax holiday to help Florida residents purchase hurricane supplies runs through June 9. The official start of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season begins June 1. NOAA's forecast: When is hurricane season? Here's when hurricane season starts and what to expect in 2023Īn Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday, if necessary. WeatherTiger: 2023 hurricane season will be 'once-in-a-generation slugfest' between tropical forces How to prepare for hurricane season: On a budget? Here's 5 cheap ways to prepare your home for Florida's hurricane season For a tropical system to develop, temperatures need to be in the upper 70s or higher, according to AccuWeather. Temperatures in the central and eastern Gulf range from the mid-70s to low 80s. Water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico are high enough to support tropical development. The designation means specialized data is being gathered and forecast models developed for where the system may go.Īs of 8 p.m., the National Hurricane Center continued to give the system a 20 percent chance for development over the next 48 hours.Įnvironmental conditions appear marginally favorable for some slow development over the next day or two as the system meanders over the eastern or northeastern Gulf of Mexico.Įven if the system doesn't develop into a tropical depression or storm, forecasters warned it could bring heavy rain and gusty winds to portions of Florida over the weekend as it moves across Florida and into the Atlantic. Watch Video: AccuWeather forecasters watch for tropical developmentĮditor's note: Here's the latest forecast on Invest 91L, which may become a tropical depression or storm soon.Ī system of low pressure in the eastern Gulf of Mexico has been designated as Invest 91L, according to the National Hurricane Center.
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